Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.012665 2.331873 2.682983 3.097523 3.573279 4.101919 4.733604
2025-02-16 1.482664 1.878771 2.352438 2.959459 3.715614 4.625392 5.802033
2025-02-23 1.109632 1.522553 2.054224 2.786568 3.766610 5.030151 6.780032
2025-03-02 0.841729 1.241454 1.791720 2.600530 3.754567 5.336792 7.664883
2025-03-09 0.694601 1.093445 1.676523 2.584875 3.957112 5.943883 9.027849
2025-03-16 0.565691 0.946103 1.534082 2.500546 4.039177 6.380651 10.196664
2025-03-23 0.510906 0.902248 1.538054 2.634384 4.463033 7.371311 12.319259
2025-03-30 0.456346 0.848131 1.515091 2.717697 4.812440 8.282813 14.426218
2025-04-06 0.398408 0.777431 1.451986 2.720959 5.023710 8.988341 16.273436
2025-04-13 0.330119 0.675713 1.318097 2.577562 4.955867 9.206080 17.302544
2025-04-20 0.302005 0.645406 1.309180 2.659778 5.302628 10.185237 19.789469
2025-04-27 0.283581 0.631078 1.327844 2.795598 5.764594 11.421816 22.885548
2025-05-04 0.256299 0.595139 1.301142 2.843236 6.072331 12.425826 25.703549
2025-05-11 0.230201 0.557333 1.265072 2.866692 6.335340 13.376394 28.537523
2025-05-18 0.199247 0.503089 1.185735 2.786320 6.371274 13.877896 30.528705
2025-05-25 0.168929 0.444698 1.087869 2.649641 6.265437 14.071071 31.896489
2025-06-01 0.152774 0.417936 1.058011 2.663039 6.493354 14.995557 34.933632
2025-06-08 0.133757 0.380403 0.996781 2.593152 6.520401 15.483998 37.068236
2025-06-15 0.128832 0.379146 1.024037 2.742271 7.083229 17.234903 42.250685
2025-06-22 0.121335 0.369521 1.028683 2.835270 7.521778 18.749223 47.055878
2025-06-29 0.110645 0.348915 1.001611 2.842457 7.747325 19.787604 50.851232
2025-07-06 0.094902 0.310535 0.920852 2.695026 7.557337 19.802586 52.168127
2025-07-13 0.089847 0.303548 0.925723 2.782129 7.994595 21.413209 57.622462